The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic ...

Medium- and long-dated U.S. Treasury yields rise, accelerating a trend for U.S. curve steepening, where the gap between long- and short-dated Treasury yields increases. The next key U.S. data isn’t ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

AGNC Investment Corp. benefits from a steepening yield curve, falling repo costs, and agency MBS safety. Click for this ...

The Treasury Bond market went into convulsions last month following the “Liberation Day” announcement of broad new high-tariff policies (April 2). Because Treasurys play such an important role in the ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...