A trough, in economic terms, can refer to a stage in the business cycle where activity is bottoming, or where prices are bottoming, before a rise.

The United States may have just emerged from a long, quiet downturn that never showed up in the official record. A prominent Wall Street strategist argues that much of the private economy has been ...

James Kostohryz shares why asset allocation is crucial for individual investors to achieve alpha, especially by sidestepping bear markets and reentering at favorable valuations. The U.S. economy faces ...

Nearly half of the country is now flashing recessionary warning lights, with twenty-three states already meeting a common rule-of-thumb definition of contraction and several others hovering just above ...

The Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in 2024 reignited a debate familiar to investors: do easing cycles extend expansions or signal looming recession? With inflation still a threat, the Fed’s next move ...

“U.S. Economic Growth Expected to Flatline in 2025. Tariffs Are the Main Reason.” – Barron’s (April 15, 2025) “If they don’t change the tariffs, it’s ...

Explore how long typical boom and bust cycles last, their impact, and economic trends in U.S. business cycles.

Are we in a recession in Connecticut? The short answer is probably not (at the moment), but we can’t be certain. Technically, only the National Bureau of Economic Research — a nonprofit, nonpartisan ...