The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3 ...

As of early March 2025, investors—and consumers—have once again begun to feel skittish about the possibility of an impending ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

Nearly 61% of U.S. investors feel pessimistic about the market's future, the most recent weekly survey from the American Association of Individual Investors revealed. So if you're worried a recession ...

A short question: How do I ignore the noise in the markets? A recession has been predicted for the past several years, but the sky has not fallen (yet). Even with a slew of positive economic news, I ...

WASHINGTON (AP) — The second consecutive quarter of economic growth that the government reported Thursday underscored that the nation isn’t in a recession despite high inflation and the Federal ...